03/22/2016

 After 5 Years・・・Higashi Nippon Great Earthquake 東日本大震災から5年

                                                            3.11, 2011

                                                      An aerial view of Fukushima Prefecture as seen from a Cessna aircraft on March 12, 2011. | BON ISHIKAWA

            Documenting Tohoku’s long road to recovery

                                                                                                                                                                        by   Special to The Japan Times  Article history

They depicted anything from young women in kimono posing for coming-of-age portraits and cake-cutting newly weds to a high school baseball team and a radiant mother cradling a new-born baby. What they all shared in common were personal slices of happiness — private celebrations of everyday life that had previously occupied very personal spaces, but were now on display in a massive open-air gallery.

Through the lenses of the photographers who ventured into Tohoku in the aftermath of the quake and tsunami, these sunny snapshots — now muddied, torn and tossed around like confetti from some long-abandoned revelry — took on a distinctly somber tone. Where were those smiling, peace-sign toting teenagers now? Or the slightly disheveled business colleagues, grinning red-faced under the cherry blossoms?

In some cases, weeks of searching uncovered a frequently tragic answer. For many of the photographers who documented the disasters, however, this was the closest they would get to an image of how this coastal region in northeastern Japan had once looked and how its people had lived.

The other objects they photographed were little more than testament to the power of nature, or documents that would remind future generations of the travails of their forefathers, both as survivors and re-builders. In the case of the Fukushima nuclear accident, they served as records of villages and towns still physically standing but effectively as obliterated as those places along the coast that had been swept away by the marauding waves.

Five years on and much of the landscape in the devastated region has changed beyond recognition once more. In Iwate and Miyagi prefectures, post-tsunami landmarks such as toppled buildings and washed-up cargo vessels have disappeared almost as rapidly as those that are now obscured, or have been replaced, by the ever-growing mountains of plastic bags filled with radioactive waste and land-reclaiming vegetation in Fukushima.

Yet, while some displaced residents also have changed landscapes — many with new pastures hundreds of kilometers away — tens of thousands more remain in limbo.

“I have given up hope of ever returning home,” says one elderly evacuee from Namie, a town near the crippled nuclear plant, who has lived in temporary housing in the city of Aizuwakamatsu, Fukushima Prefecture, for almost four of the past five years. “It seems the rest of the country has moved on, but we are going nowhere.”

Yuko Kusano of Sendai-based nonprofit organization Miyagi Jo-Net, which has provided support for displaced women since March 2011, says many others, especially the elderly, feel the same — that they have been “forgotten, or abandoned.”

Some photographers who have worked in the region over the past five years are determined to make sure this never happens, documenting progress, or lack of it, and giving hope to the people who they first met in those photos that littered the post-tsunami landscape.

To mark the upcoming fifth anniversary of the March 2011 disaster, The Japan Times interviewed three photographers who have expressed diverse, but nonetheless revealing, viewpoints.


Bon Ishikawa

Bon Ishikawa offers a unique perspective of the Tohoku disasters. Known for documenting the shrine removals at Ise Grand Shrine for more than 30 years as well as his aerial views of Earth, Ishikawa first photographed the devastated region from a Cessna aircraft that he chartered in Tokyo.

“When I flew over Kesennuma (in Miyagi Prefecture), I could just make out the faint sight of people through the smoke that was billowing up from the flooded landscape and felt as though I was looking down on hell,” says Ishikawa, 56, who began his career with the Agence France-Press news agency before turning freelance in 1990. “I couldn’t help wondering what those people were going through.”

Within a matter of hours he would find out. Having returned to his home in the capital, Ishikawa collected his motorbike and headed back up to the devastated region. The pain and suffering he found there made him determined to show the disasters from the victims’ perspectives.

“Even if we look at photos of war or the atomic bombings, for example, with time our memory of events tends to fade,” he says. “I thought that if I could somehow capture the feelings and struggles of the people then I would be able to convey the sheer terror of a tsunami for future generations.”

Later, Ishikawa had fears of his own to contend with. When reactor 3 at the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power facility exploded on March 15, he was working nearby. Shortly after, it began to rain and he started to worry about radiation poisoning; he was still moving around the region on his motorbike.

“I was soaked through with black rain,” says Ishikawa, who later burned his clothes, showered and went through radiation screening in Iwaki City. “The readings caused a real commotion at the screening. My camera bag, camera straps and memory cards were confiscated … though somehow my cameras were OK. I am sure that I, too, must have been irradiated.”

Nonetheless, he carried on working, even though this “intense” incident made him question the wisdom of nuclear power in a disaster-prone country such as Japan.

“As a person who has gone through such a first-hand experience, I am amazed that despite what happened at Fukushima, despite the continuing nuclear waste issue, nuclear power plants are being switched back on,” says Ishikawa, whose wife developed thyroid cancer 12 months after the disasters, although he is unsure it was related to the nuclear accident. “I truly wonder where human wisdom lies when you can restart nuclear plants after something so asinine as Fukushima.”

Over the days that followed, Ishikawa delivered emergency supplies to remote communities near Kesennuma. Later on, he worked with local schools in an attempt to mitigate post-traumatic stress among school children, both through photography and his dog, Jubey, who he has trained as a Frisbee dog.

“Child survivors didn’t talk about the disasters, but doctors said if they didn’t they may never completely get over it,” Ishikawa says. “I thought the positive power of photography could help. So I worked with them on photo projects that focused on the things and places they like, or things they want to convey. During break time, we would play Frisbee. Such interaction helped them relax and enabled me to work more effectively.”

Biography

Date of birth: January 1960
Place of birth: Oita Prefecture
Awards: Best photographer of the year, Photographic Society of Japan, 2012
Website: http://bonlamafa.wix.com/bon-ishikawa-photog


James Whitlow Delano

American photojournalist James Whitlow Delano recently returned from the disaster zone where he had tried to revisit some of the places he had photographed in the aftermath of the disasters. Most he found, although the rapidly altering landscape made the job challenging.

“Five years on, they are making great progress but they are not there yet,” says Delano, who has called Japan home for over 20 years. “Rebuilding these towns … is a massive operation. And it’s really hit and miss — some places are doing better than others.”

Delano has shot photographic projects worldwide, many focusing on environmental issues and natural phenomena such as volcanoes. The Tohoku disasters had a more emotional impact on him, especially the Fukushima nuclear accident which was “harrowing for a child of the Cold War,” he says.

“Being a long-term resident and having family here I felt duty-bound to tell this story,” he says. “When you see news from around the world, it somehow seems as though affected people are in a never-changing state, which makes it hard to imagine what life was like for them in normal times. In this case, however, a few days before they were living just like you and me. … And it showed me that we are just one bad day away from being in their shoes.”

Consequently, he admits to feeling conflicted when working in the disaster zone and photographing people who had lost their homes and loved ones.

“There were photos I had to take to communicate what was going on,” he says. “I always apologized and explained to them after. I wanted people to understand. … But that was the worst time of their lives. It was tough.”

While he believes that much of the tsunami-hit zone will recover with time, he is less optimistic about communities that have been affected by radiation. On a recent assignment in Fukushima, in addition to the sprawling temporary storage facilities that can be found dotted around the prefecture, Delano noticed piles of tarpaulin-covered radioactive debris near to homes, even in the city of Fukushima.

“When I found out what they were, I saw them as a great metaphor for the silent menace that people have to live with up there,” he says. “I can’t imagine how anyone who has been to see Fukushima Prefecture could think anything about nuclear power is good.”

Despite the nuclear issue, Delano believes the “world-class beauty” found in Honshu’s northeastern region and the hard-working, stoic character of the Tohoku people could lead to much-needed development and innovation in the area.

“They didn’t lose everything,” he says. “Tohoku is still there. The culture and the spirit is very much still alive. A happy scenario could be that this sparks a renaissance.”

Biography

Date of birth: February 1960
Place of birth: Washington, U.S.
Awards: Alfred Eisenstaedt Award (from Columbia University and Life Magazine), Leica’s Oskar Barnack, Picture of the Year International
Website: www.jameswhitlowdelano.com


Mayumi Suzuki

Large-format photographer Mayumi Suzuki’s work in Tohoku began when she uncovered a camera lens among the debris in Onagawa, Miyagi Prefecture. Caked in mud, it had been half buried near a darkroom that was all that remained of an erstwhile photo studio and home.

Suzuki, who lives in Kanagawa Prefecture, recognized the lens immediately: It belonged to her father, Atsushi Sasaki, and the battered two-story building was the house in which she was born.

Although it had not been confirmed at the time, her father and mother both perished in the disasters. However, aided by a love of photography and a positivity she says she inherited from her father, Suzuki chose not to dwell on the past. Instead, she began to document the bravery of the survivors as they went about picking up the pieces of their lives.

“I found the lens and the darkroom, but there was nothing left of the neighboring homes and stores,” Suzuki recalls. “Even a large, concrete building nearby had been knocked on its side. Inside the darkroom, however, equipment such as the enlarger was still intact. Even the light bulb was unbroken. I felt this must be a message from my father. … I thought I have to start working.”

First, she created a studio-like set on the devastated land and began to take portraits of survivors — local store owners and their children, who, like Suzuki were heirs to the family business.

It was a theme she resolved to follow after discovering that her grandfather, who opened the seaside studio in 1930, had been forced to rebuild it three years later following another devastating tsunami that was triggered by the 1933 Sanriku Earthquake. Her father, too, had suffered a similar fate in the aftermath of another tsunami that hit the pretty coastal town in 1960.

“A disaster had struck each generation, but everyone decided to stay and rebuild,” says Suzuki, who says she had never considered carrying on her father’s work. “The reason is simple — Onagawa is a place that holds too much significance for them. It’s a place they love. This is why they chose to start again after March 11 and that’s what moved me the most. It’s why I wanted to document their endeavors for future generations.”

Onagawa’s recovery has been steady, and plans to raise the coastal land by 5 meters are yet to convene. Yet, there is a perceptiveness among the local people that is not always seen in other recovering towns, she says.

“In other places, there is a tendency to look back — to want to return to how things were,” says Suzuki, who was invited to show her work in New York a few months after the disasters. “In Onagawa, however, the future of the town is being shaped by people of my generation, but not even for us. We are shaping it for our children.”

More recently, Suzuki has started to reflect on the family photo studio and has commenced work on a new project that employs the mud-encrusted lens she found among the debris five years ago, which she had mistakenly believed was beyond repair.

“What I want to express through these images is the idea that my father’s spirit is alive, and that at night he appears and wanders around town,” she says. “The photos reflect how he would see it now five years on, or that he is still watching over me, … saying, ‘Make sure you do a good job of this.’ … So I am no longer creating just a record of recovery. Although I am the one who is taking the pictures, I see them from my father’s perspective and his spirit is always by my side.”

Biography

Date of birth: August 1977
Place of birth: Onagawa, Miyagi Prefecture
Publications: “Onagawa, Sasaki Photo Studio — From March 11, 2011, and Beyond” (Ichiyosha)
Website: www.mayumisuzuki.jp

                                   3/11 lesson : Prepare, at all costs, for the worst 

Members of the media are briefed by Tokyo Electric Power Co. employees in front of the reactor 1 and 2 buildings at the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant in Okuma on Feb. 10. | POOL PHOTO VIA BLOOMBERG

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       Radiation woes dog Tepco’s efforts to decommission Fukushima No. 1

by   Staff Writer  Article history

That was the beginning of Tokyo Electric Power Co.’s long struggle to contain radioactive material spilling outside its damaged reactors, whose dangerous decommissioning will take decades to complete.

Five years on, Tepco has cleaned up some of the debris and decontaminated the site somewhat in an effort to improve the working conditions of the thousands of workers there.

But the reactor decommissioning is still in an early stage, delayed due in part to Tepco’s struggle to contain the tons of groundwater tainted with radioactive material on a daily basis.

“It’s difficult to say how far we have come with the decommissioning. But if the mountain (peak) is 100 percent, I think we have climbed about 10 percent,” Akira Ono, chief of the Fukushima No. 1 plant, said last month.

Progress has been made, albeit at a snail’s pace. About 1,500 spent and unused fuel assemblies were removed from a pool in the building housing the crippled reactor 4 in 2014 — a milestone in the decommissioning process. The next big step will be for Tepco to remove spent-fuel rods from the reactor 3 building in about two years.

Improving the workplace environment will also help speed up the process.

To cater to some 7,000 people who work at Fukushima No. 1 each day, Tepco has constructed a facility where they can rest and have hot meals.

The decontamination efforts at the plant has allowed workers to switch to half-face masks from full-faced ones that are uncomfortable and harder to speak through. Now, full-faced masks are only required when working at sites, such as near reactor buildings, where radiation levels are still high.

Securing enough workers is also a challenge for Tepco. But Ono played down the concern.

“The decommissioning task is a new business. There are many new things to develop for the work, so I think this is a business that has a future,” said Ono.

For now, the pressing task for Tepco is to reduce the increasing amount of radioactive water — groundwater flowing from the mountains into the damaged basements of the reactor buildings, resulting in contaminated water.

The basement floors of the buildings housing reactors 1, 2, 3 and 4 are flooded with radioactive water generated in the process of cooling the damaged reactors. The buildings apparently have cracks where groundwater finds its way in and mixes with the tainted water.

The issue has forced the utility to build an unprecedented underground ice wall to block groundwater going into the basements of the reactor buildings. The government-backed project, which cost ¥35 billion, involves encircling the buildings with the frozen wall by freezing the soil.

If it works, Tepco may be able to achieve its goal in stopping the leakage by 2020. The ice wall technology has been used in other construction projects, but the 1.5-km wall planned for the Fukushima plant is unprecedented.

“The increase of the contaminated water has been a major issue. Even though Tepco is now pumping groundwater from the wells . . . quite a lot . . . is still going into the reactor buildings. In that sense, the ice wall could be effective,” said Kiyoshi Takasaka, an adviser on nuclear issues to the Fukushima Prefectural Government.

At first, an estimated 400 tons of groundwater was being contaminated daily, but the amount has decreased to about 150 tons after Tepco started pumping out groundwater and discharged it into the sea after checking radiation levels. Because rainwater seeps into the ground and increases groundwater levels in and around the plant, Tepco has also paved many areas within the site to limit this.

But if the containment fails to go as planned, radioactive water may seep into the soil around the reactor buildings, further contaminating the environment.

To date, the tainted water has remained largely inside the reactor buildings because the water level has been lower than the groundwater level outside. Since the ice wall will block the groundwater flow into the buildings, the groundwater level within the ice wall is expected to go down. However, if it becomes lower than the tainted water level, the radioactive water will escape and mix with the underground environment.

“We understand that the biggest concern is that the contaminated water might escape from the buildings. We must not let that happen,” Naohiro Masuda, who heads Tepco’s decommissioning division, said during a news conference on Feb. 25.

Masuda stressed that Tepco will be closely monitoring both water levels and if the groundwater level drops, it will add water from the wells, vowing the tainted water won’t leak “by any chance.”

And even if it leaks, he said Tepco completed the underground sea wall right by the Pacific Ocean, so the tainted groundwater will be blocked there.

“We can promise that it won’t leak to the sea,” he said.

But the Nuclear Regulation Authority, Japan’s nuclear watchdog, has been reluctant to approve Tepco’s ice wall plan. Tepco initially wanted to complete freezing the soil, which will take several months, by the end of March.

After months of explanations, the NRA is expected to green-light the plan soon.

Takasaka, who is a member of an NRA panel monitoring the situation at the Fukushima plant, admits Tepco’s explanation is becoming more convincing but there is no guarantee the tainted water won’t leak.

And if it does, Tepco will face a challenging task of collecting and disposing of radioactive soil, Takasaka claims.

“The underground sea wall will prevent the contamination from spreading into the Pacific. But a massive amount of soil will be tainted and has to be disposed of at some point,” he said.

 

Fishery workers sort through a catch at the Onahama market in the city of Iwaki, Fukushima Prefecture, on Feb. 9. | KAZUAKI NAGATA

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      Fukushima’s fishing industry struggles amid safety fears, catch restrictions

                                               by   Staff Writer  Article history

But for the fishing industry in Fukushima Prefecture, the turnaround has been slow, and plagued by the impact of the nuclear disaster that caused massive amounts of radioactive water to flow to the Pacific Ocean.

“I think we are making some progress. The fishermen couldn’t fish for more than a year (after 3/11),” said Yoshihisa Komatsu, deputy director of administration at the Fukushima Prefectural Federation of Fisheries Cooperative Associations. But the speed of the progress “is slow, as it’s been already five years,” he said.

Recovery for Fukushima’s fishing industry has come in small steps. After March 11, 2011, fishermen voluntarily stopped fishing. They resumed in June 2012, although only on a trial basis, and the government slapped an outright ban on the sale of certain species deemed likely to be radioactive.

The blacklist affected more than 35 types of fish caught off the Fukushima coast, which was famous for flounder, angler fish and rockfish.

Under the trial, fishing boats were allowed to catch a small amount of other species but were required to check their radiation levels. If the fish were found to be uncontaminated, they were shipped off to market.

The goal is to see the reaction of consumers, who have largely avoided eating fish from the prefecture due to radiation worries.

The catch has significantly gone down in Fukushima, with only about 5,600 tons of fish caught in 2015, down from about 38,600 tons before 3/11.

To increase the catch, Komatsu said it was essential to lift the shipping ban.

“We can make the first step (toward full recovery) once the ban is lifted from all fish,” said Komatsu.

While the sales ban on several species has been lifted, 28 kinds of fish remain on the list.

Trial fishing, meanwhile, has been expanded from three species to 72.

In addition, radiation-contaminated fish have drastically decreased.

According to the prefecture, about 50 percent of the fish samples tested for radiation levels exceeded the government-designated maximum of 100 becquerels per kilogram right after the nuclear disaster started in 2011. But after April 2015, no fish has exceeded that limit.

As a result, the Fukushima fisheries cooperative federation is now looking to expand the permissible fishing area closer to the Fukushima No. 1 plant.

Currently, fishermen can only fish outside of a 20-km radius of the plant. They want to expand this to a 10-km radius after Tokyo Electric Power Co. last October completed a sea wall that blocks contaminated groundwater from reaching the Pacific. Since then, the level of contamination near the plant has decreased.

While many take this as a positive sign toward recovery, concerns remain.

“If some fish show high levels of contamination, it could hurt efforts to fight the harmful rumors” about the safety of products from the area, Komatsu said.

Fukushima has suffered from a tainted image due to the Fukushima nuclear plant calamity, affecting everything from farm to marine products — something the prefecture has constantly been fighting.

“The harmful rumors need to end to some degree before the trial fishing ends and full-scale fishing resumes,” said Hiromitsu Endo, who represents distributor in Iwaki, Fukushima Prefecture.

Currently, his association of 28 distributors sell fish caught under the trial to the market.

But once fishing returns to full scale, the association will be disbanded, with each firm left on their own to sell their catch to customers. If the bad image remains, they fear they will have a hard time.

“It will be too late to start fighting the harmful rumors then,” Endo said.

Even five years after the disaster started, the harmful rumors persist, he said.

Although Fukushima Prefecture monitors radiation levels of fish, shipping only products that are not contaminated, distributors said some stores were reluctant to market the products because they didn’t sell well.

To wipe out the bad image, Komatsu of Fukushima fisheries cooperative said the industry needed to keep proving through trial fishing that the fish being sold was safe.

 

   Japan marks fifth anniversary of devastating 3/11 disasters

                                              by   Staff Writer  Article history

The anniversary comes as about 174,000 evacuees from disaster-hit areas are still living outside their damaged hometowns.

They include more than 43,000 from Fukushima, most of whom are believed to have fled the radioactive fallout from Tokyo Electric Power Co.’s Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant, which was wrecked by the killer tsunami.10px

On Friday, a memorial ceremony organized by the government and held in Tokyo was attended by Emperor Akihito, Empress Michiko and Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, as well as three representatives of survivors from Iwate, Miyagi and Fukushima prefectures, the three main areas devastated in the disasters.

Likewise in many places throughout Tohoku, memorial ceremonies were held with a moment of silence observed at 2:46 p.m., the moment when the magnitude-9.0 quake rocked the region, triggering the gigantic tsunami that struck five years ago.

“On this day five years ago, I was a senior high school student and, as was our daily custom, my grandfather saw me off at the front door and my father drove me to the train station,” Hisato Yamamoto, 22, a representative from Iwate Prefecture, said in a speech at the ceremony in Tokyo.

“The body of my grandfather was found a few days later. … My beloved father has never come home to us,” she said.

Her father, Sachio Yamamoto, was a firefighter. He went missing after rushing to close a coastal barrier floodgate to save the town of Miyako, Iwate Prefecture.

“I have pressed my mother for an explanation why he had to go,” she said.

“But today, I am proud of him and respect him for trying to protect people’s lives as a member of the town’s firefighting unit,” she said.

In his address, Emperor Akihito said progress has been made over the last five years, but many people continue to live under difficult conditions, both in the disaster-hit areas and the places they have evacuated to.

“It is important that everyone’s hearts continue to be with the afflicted, so that each and every person in difficulty, without exception, will be able to get back their normal lives as soon as possible,” he said.

In a paper released Thursday, the central government said that the “restoration of social infrastructure had been largely finished.”

According to the government, local residents have finished or are in the process of rebuilding 130,000 houses by themselves. In addition, another 9,000 structures have been built to move coastal communities to higher ground to avoid another tsunami, with 17,000 more public housing units constructed for disaster survivors.

At a news conference Thursday, Abe argued that the Tohoku region is continuing to “make steady progress” toward recovery.

“Now more than 70 percent of (disaster-hit) agricultural land has become ready for planting, and nearly 90 percent of fishery-product processing facilities have resumed operations,” Abe boasted at the news conference.

“Seeds of new industries are now evolving one after another in disaster-hit areas,” he added.

Many local residents and workers, however, continue to struggle.

Despite Abe’s words of praise for the recovery, just 48 percent of fishery-product processing plants in Aomori, Iwate, Miyagi, Fukushima and Ibaraki prefectures have seen sales recover to 80 percent or more of their pre-disaster levels, according to a survey conducted by the Fisheries Agency from November through January.

In many Tohoku cities and towns, the fishing industry is considered one of few indigenous sectors that could support local economies once the central government begins to cut its massive spending on reconstruction work in the region.

Disaster-hit coastal communities are also facing a graying and shrinking population, which will make it even more difficult for local towns to recover from the lingering effects of 3/11.

According to a poll conducted by the daily Mainichi Shimbun newspaper, 16 of 42 mayors of cities and towns in Iwate, Miyagi and Fukushima prefectures said they expect the populations of their municipalities will dwindle more than 10 percent over the next decade.

Meanwhile, at the crippled Fukushima No. 1 plant, problems remain far from solved.

Tepco said it will take another 30 to 40 years to finish work to decommission the heavily damaged reactors, given the deadly levels of radiation still emanating from melted nuclear fuel somewhere within the reactor buildings.

Another big headache is the growing number, currently at about 1,000, of massive tanks that have been set up within the plant compound to hold some 800,000 tons of contaminated water.

Tepco has already processed about 600,000 tons with its Advanced Liquid Processing System (ALPS), which is capable of removing 62 kinds of radioactive material from tainted water. But the machine is unable to remove radioactive tritium, the reason Tepco must continue building an ever-rising number of tanks to hold the tainted water at the Fukushima plant.

Meanwhile, the Abe administration is now gearing up to reactivate more of the nation’s 42 commercial reactors that remain shut down in the wake of the Fukushima nuclear crisis. Off the 44 total reactors, two in Satsumasendai, Kagoshima Prefecture, have already been reactivated despite protests by anti-nuclear activists.

Utilities are applying for safety checks by the Nuclear Regulation Authority to reactivate another 22 reactors nationwide.

“Nuclear power is indispensable for our country, which has few natural resources, to secure stable energy supplies while addressing climate change issues,” Abe said

at Thursday’s news conference.

He also claimed that a set of new safety standards introduced after the Fukushima disaster “are the strictest in the world” and that his government would promote the reactivation of reactors once they pass the screening by the NRA.

 

A gate is shut at the evacuation zone in Namie, Fukushima Prefecture, on Feb. 14. In such places, the scars are still obvious and many evacuees who fled are unwilling to return. | BLOOMBERG

    Fukushima evacuations were not worth the money, study says

                                             by   Kyodo  Article history          

The researchers found that at best evacuees could expect to live eight months longer, but that some might gain only one extra day of life. They said this does not warrant ripping people from their homes and communities.

The team of experts from four British universities developed a series of tests to examine the relocations after the Fukushima crisis and earlier Chernobyl disaster in 1986.

After a three-year study, the academics have concluded that Japan “overreacted” by relocating 160,000 residents of Fukushima Prefecture, even though radioactive material fell on more than 30,000 sq. km of territory.

“We judged that no one should have been relocated in Fukushima, and it could be argued this was a knee-jerk reaction,” said Philip Thomas, a professor of risk management at Bristol University. “It did more harm than good. An awful lot of disruption has been caused However, this is with hindsight and we are not blaming the authorities.”

The team used a wide range of economic and actuarial data, as well as information from the United Nations and the Japanese government.

In one test, an assessment of judgment value, the researchers calculated how many days of life expectancy were saved by relocating residents away from areas affected by radiation.

They compared this with the cost of relocation and how much this expenditure would impact the quality of people’s lives in the future.

From this information, they were able to work out the optimal or rational level of spending and make a judgment on the best measures to mitigate the effects of a nuclear accident.

Depending on how close people were to the radiation, the team calculated that the relocations added a period of between one day to 21 days to the evacuees’ lives.

But when this was compared with the vast amounts of money spent, the academics came to the conclusion that it was unjustified in all cases.

In some areas, they calculated that 150 times more money was being spent than was judged rational.

Thomas adds, the tests do not take into account the physical and psychological effects of relocating, which have been shown to have led to more than 1,000 deaths among elderly evacuees.

Other studies have also found that once people have lived away for a certain period of time it can become increasingly difficult to persuade them to return.

After Chernobyl, the world’s worst nuclear disaster, around 116,000 people were initially relocated away from the disaster zone.

Looking back on the incident, the team judged it was only worthwhile to relocate 31,000 people because they would have lost in excess of 8.7 months in life expectancy had they remained.

However, for the rest of the 116,000 people, it would have been a more rational decision to keep them where they were, given that their average loss of life was put at three months.

Four years later, a further 220,000 people were relocated from areas close to Chernobyl. Researchers found this unjustified.

Thomas says the loss in life expectancy following a nuclear accident has to be put into context alongside other threats all people face.

For example, it has been claimed that the average Londoner will lose about 4½ months in life expectancy due to high pollution levels.

Thomas concludes governments should carry out a more careful assessment before mounting a relocation operation of at least a year. A temporary evacuation could be a good idea while authorities work out the risk from radiation, he said.

In the future, Thomas would like to see more real-time information made available to the public on radiation levels in order to avoid hysteria and bad planning.

On a plus note, the team found that other remedial measures — decontaminating homes, deep ploughing of soil and bans on the sales of certain food products — were far more effective.

Thomas has already discussed his findings with colleagues at the University of Tokyo and he is keen that his findings can help better quantify the risks from radioactive leaks.

The project was sponsored by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council, Britain’s main agency for funding research in engineering and the physical sciences. It was intended to give advice for nuclear planners both in Britain and India.

The research team comprised specialists from City University in London, Manchester University, the Open University and Warwick University.

 

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                        Why 3/11 didn’t change Japan

                                            by   BARRON'S ASIA  Article history          

Two years later, Kuroda returned again to helm the Bank of Japan. But my four-hour flight with him was stuck in my mind as Japan commemorated the fifth anniversary of that record trembler. As Kuroda and I chatted about the devastation in Tohoku and the unfolding Fukushima crisis, my fingers were clicking away on what days later would be Bloomberg BusinessWeek’s cover story, “Crisis in Japan.”

In it, I tried to accentuate the positive, exploring how March 11, 2011, could have been a turning point for Tokyo’s sclerotic political system (a possibility Kuroda also raised). Giant Japanese quakes tended to catalyze major change: in 1855, 1923 and 1995. The idea 3/11, which triggered the worst nuclear crisis since Chernobyl, might be transformative filled Malcolm Gladwell’s head, too. “The only time you can get things done is in moments of genuine crisis and catastrophes — there’s a small opportunity to do an extraordinary amount,” the author of “The Tipping Point” observed. “Japan, a country whose politics were in deadlock and sluggish for many, many years, I hope they can seize this moment and accomplish a lot.”

Five years on, the deadlock remains. Japan is on its third prime minister since 3/11, and even self-described transformer Shinzo Abe can’t soften the headwinds heading its way. Growth is negligible as national debt rises apace, the population shrinks and Beijing steals more and more of Tokyo’s thunder. Deflation persists, no matter how many trillions of dollars of liquidity Kuroda pumps into markets. Rebuilding efforts in Tohoku are glacial. The plight of Fukushima refugees (100,000 people still can’t go home) took a back seat to Tokyo’s preparations for the 2020 Olympics. When politicians do make it up to Tohoku, it smacks of disaster porn. All photo ops, no substance.

So why did Tokyo fail the Gladwell test? One explanation is it simply wasn’t hit hard enough. Tokyo shook like mad that day; the epicenter of the magnitude-9.0 quake was just 370 km away. Skyscrapers swayed, bullet trains braked and explosions filled the Tokyo air with smoke, but the devastation still felt remote. Another: micromanaging bureaucrats dragging out decisions in rural areas. And never underestimate the power of denial. Naoto Kan, Yoshihiko Noda and Abe all pledged to do whatever it takes to resurrect the disaster zone, yet each prime minister did even less than his predecessor.

“Under Abe, Tohoku has become a sign of national attention-deficit disorder,” says Jeff Kingston, head of Asian studies at the Tokyo campus of Temple University. “We’ve gone from ‘whatever it takes’ to restore the devastated areas to ‘move on, it’s OK, it’s safe. Bring on the Olympics!’ “

But as The Japan Times put it in a recent expose, “Tohoku is literally still waiting to move on.” Even the pro-Abe broadcast media alleges Tokyo is fiddling with data to show all’s well with rebuilding efforts. Environmental activists doubt the government’s radiation figures, estimates of how much toxic water is leaking into the oceans and claims by Tokyo Electric Power Co., which owns the Fukushima No. 1 reactors, that families can move back into the nuclear zone. Only last month were three former Tepco executives indicted for negligence, the first time a court will look into the 2011 record of a company that makes BP and Monsanto look good. Better late than never, I guess.

Oddly, 3/11 may have done more to solidify pre-existing policy preferences than change them — in ways that explain why Abenomics hasn’t gotten very far.

Japan’s Gladwell moment seemed assured in July 2012, when Kiyoshi Kurokawa released his headline-grabbing Fukushima report. Lawmakers probably expected the Tokyo University professor emeritus to proceed gently when they tapped him to investigate what went wrong. Kurokawa went spectacularly off-script and called the nuclear debacle a “profoundly man-made disaster” for which all of Tokyo shared responsibility.

Tepco deserved the most blame, of course, for decades of fudging safety reports and bizarre decisions like placing backup power generators where the tsunami could swamp them. Kurokawa also indicted a toxic and corrupt political culture that enabled and protected Tepco. His 641-page opus slammed the “nuclear village,” the cabal of pro-reactor politicians, regulators and companies that is Japan’s answer to America’s “military-industrial complex.” It was a powerful moment: a respected, independent voice despaired at the “ingrained conventions of Japanese culture” and the dangers of “reflexive obedience; our reluctance to question authority; our devotion to sticking with the program; our groupism; and our insularity.”

But the moment passed, and quickly. “The never-let-a-crisis-go-to-waste mentality never got traction in terms of what needed to be done differently,” Kingston says. “Instead, policy entrepreneurs drew lessons that favored their long-standing policy desires and thus 3/11 provided political cover for ramping up pre-existing reform proposals and sustaining policy inertia rather than lead to a Big Bang shake-up.”

Japan’s present, relative to what might have been five years, sheds light on why Abenomics also has gotten little traction. When Kuroda flew to Japan’s aid a second time, in March 2013, he trusted Abe would do his part. The BOJ’s “bazooka,” as Kuroda told me days before he formally joined the BOJ, would set the stage for the real fireworks: a structural reform onslaught that would overwhelm the bureaucracy and remake a jaundiced Japan Inc.

Kuroda did his part, and then some. His recent step toward negative interest rates smacked of desperation, though, as the government drags its feet on deregulation, loosening labor markets, encouraging entrepreneurship and opening protected sectors. Abe’s answer to the debt burden that has short-sellers circling is consumption tax increases devastating consumption and necessitating increased borrowing.

One problem is distraction. This government is far more interested in liberalizing military constraints to let soldiers fight abroad than the economy. Timidity is another. When you read Kurokawa’s Fukushima report, obvious economic parallels leap forward. Even with high approval ratings and a legislative majority, Abe’s team remains unwilling to take on ingrained Tokyo conventions. It displays its own reflexive obedience to Japan Inc.’s ways and the insularity chipping away at its global standing.

Why, for example, isn’t Tokyo shaming executives sitting on trillions of dollars of cash to share the wealth? Or pushing the Diet to enact the epochal change Japan needs? Why are regulators so reluctant to pounce on Takata, Toshiba and other companies tarnishing the national brand? How come efforts to improve corporate governance and empower women are so milquetoast? Why hasn’t Tepco been nationalized, when taxpayers will pay much of the roughly $100 billion cleanup tab anyway? And why is such a seismically active nation racing to reopen nuclear reactors and ignoring the potential for a made-in-Japan renewables revolution? The answer, just as Kurokawa despaired, is a devotion to sticking with the program no matter what.

Surely Kuroda doesn’t regret coming to Japan’s rescue five years ago. But that second time in 2013 to help Abe transform the nation? I’d bet it’s being put to the test. Kuroda could be excused for wishing he’d stayed in Manila.

William Pesek, executive editor of Barron’s Asia, writes on Asian economics, markets and politics. www.barronsasia.com

 

Women dressed as oiran high-class courtesans parade along a river embankment in Tsubame, Niigata Prefecture, during last year's Bunsui Sakura Matsuri Oiran Dochu festival in April 2015. | TSUBAME MUNICIPAL TOURISM ASSOCIATION

Norwegian woman picked to lead cherry blossom festival featuring Edo Period costumes

                                            by   Staff Writer  Article history

For more information on the festival, visit jtim.es/ZeZ2O

 

              朝日新聞 2016年3月12日 b2, 解決してほしい事件 ランキング
              朝日新聞 2016年3月12日 b2, 解決してほしい事件 ランキング

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